Making management decisions based on a vector criterion in the formation of interrelations between the real and financial sectors of the Russian economy with a view to an innovative breakthrough and national security
Annotation
In this paper, the author proves need of formation of objective adoption of management decisions during creation of a system of real and financial sectors, scientific and hi-tech splits of economy of Russia on the basis of a separation hypothesis between them and also hypotheses of the advancing development of economy. The method of analytical hierarchies as an important method of optimization of the made decisions on the basis of the complex vector criterion allowing to estimate three programs of formation of interrelations of the considered sectors of economy of Russia (the program of the Ministry of Economic Development, Stolypinsky Club, the author) is allocated. Decomposition of a problem of decision-making in the form of creation of hierarchical structure in the form of three levels is created: the first (the purpose is global) - accumulation of innovative capacity of national economy of Russia; the second (criteria) – growth of five components of innovative potential (financial; personnel scientific; scientific and technological; innovative and production; export and technological potentials); the third (alternatives) – the choice of the most effective program. The considered technique of analytical hierarchies allows at the first stage on the basis of economic-mathematical model – matrixes of judgments for elements of innovative potential according to a scale from 1 to 9 to designate the most valuable components, and at the second stage – to construct five matrixes of the judgments revealing more effective program for elements of innovative potential. The developed statistical criterion allows to coordinate judgments concerning importance of criteria and (elements of innovative potential) and the choice of the most effective program at their paired comparison. Statistical significant conclusions about a priority of implementation of the author's program focused on revival of the real sector on the basis of restructuring of economy of Russia for the purpose of reindustrialization, science funding, research and development and also implementation of the innovative break providing sustainable development and safety are formulated.
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